F3 Mexico: a citizen’s married son or daughter, born in Mexico
Enter the priority date from the I-130 to see how the Mexico F3 cutoff compares with it, and why the calculator is cautious about this line.
Checked by Radif Partners · Editorial policy · Method and past error
Forecast
No reliable forecast
11 years behind the cutoff. Past forecasts for this case missed too often to publish a date.
| Final Action Date | July 1, 2001 |
|---|---|
| Date for Filing | December 1, 2002 |
| I-485 this month (USCIS uses Dates for Filing) | Not yet |
| I-485 family, national average (August 2026) | 12.4 months |
| Government fees (paper filing, with work permit and travel permit) | $3,005 |
How this was calculated
- The October 2026 Final Action Date for F3, Mexico, is July 1, 2001; your priority date is June 15, 2012, 11 years later.
- For each of the 120 months of the last 10 years, we measured how long this cutoff took to move forward by that same distance. Half the cases took longer than the history shows; 20% took Infinity years or less; 80% took more than the history shows or less.
- Your date is more than six years behind the cutoff, beyond the distances our back-test covers: no date is published.
- Fees: I-130 $675 + I-485 $1,440 + I-765 $260 + I-131 $630 (USCIS Form G-1055, edition 10/07/26, and State Department visa fees).
Estimate from public data, not legal advice. Your case may differ (cross-chargeability, CSPA, waivers). For advice, see a licensed immigration attorney or a DOJ-accredited representative. Not affiliated with USCIS or the Department of State. Method and past error
For a married son or daughter of a U.S. citizen, born in Mexico, the F3 Final Action Date in the latest Visa Bulletin is July 1, 2001, so the queue covers about 25 years of priority dates. Petitions filed in 2001 are only now reaching the front. The worldwide F3 date is October 22, 2014, some 13.3 years ahead. The Dates for Filing chart is further along at December 1, 2002, about 17 months past the Final Action Date. Movement has been uneven: about 30 months of progress in the year to October 2024, then only 3 months in the past twelve. In August 2006 the cutoff fell from October 15, 1993 to January 1, 1981, the deepest single drop in any family column we track. Our back-test fails for this case at one and two years behind, so the calculator gives no date here, only the distance and filing status.
A line measured in generations
An F3 Mexico priority date that becomes current today was filed in 2001; a son who was 30 then is about 55 now, and his children have grown up during the wait. The cutoff, July 1, 2001, sits about 25 years behind the bulletin date, against 12 years for the worldwide F3 column. The latest bulletin left it unchanged.
The 2006 collapse and the long climb back
In August 2006 the Mexico F3 date dropped from October 15, 1993 to January 1, 1981, erasing about 153 months in a single bulletin. It took years to recover. The cutoff was November 22, 1994 in October 2016, May 15, 1997 in October 2021 and April 15, 2001 in October 2025. With 10 retrogressions since 2001, this is the Mexican family column that has gone backwards most often.
Marriage, divorce and the Mexico columns
Many F3 Mexico cases began as F1: a citizen filed for a single son, who later married. The petition kept its priority date but moved from F1 Mexico, now September 8, 2008, to this line, about 7.2 years further back. Divorce works the other way. The F1 Mexico page follows that column.
Grandchildren and the age of 21
With a wait this long, the CSPA calculation often decides whether a grandchild comes with the parents. It subtracts the time the I-130 was pending, usually small next to the bulletin wait, so many children still age out.
Why no date
For a priority date of July 1, 2002, one year after the cutoff, the calculator shows the distance and says there is no reliable forecast: at two years behind, our range caught the real outcome only 9 % of the time. The one-year median error was 13 months.
F3 in the October 2026 bulletin
| Country | Final Action | Dates for Filing | Change this month |
|---|---|---|---|
| All other countries | October 22, 2014 | November 1, 2014 | no change |
| China (mainland born) | October 22, 2014 | November 1, 2014 | no change |
| India | October 22, 2014 | November 1, 2014 | no change |
| Mexico | July 1, 2001 | December 1, 2002 | no change |
| Philippines | July 22, 2006 | October 22, 2006 | ▲ 150 days |
Every October since 2002
| Bulletin | Final Action Date | Years behind the bulletin |
|---|---|---|
| October 2002 | July 15, 1992 | 10.2 |
| October 2003 | October 8, 1994 | 9.0 |
| October 2004 | October 15, 1992 | 12.0 |
| October 2005 | January 1, 1993 | 12.7 |
| October 2006 | January 1, 1994 | 12.7 |
| October 2007 | May 1, 1992 | 15.4 |
| October 2008 | September 15, 1992 | 16.0 |
| October 2009 | Unavailable (U) | – |
| October 2010 | October 22, 1992 | 17.9 |
| October 2011 | December 1, 1992 | 18.8 |
| October 2012 | Unavailable (U) | – |
| October 2013 | May 22, 1993 | 20.4 |
| October 2014 | October 22, 1993 | 20.9 |
| October 2015 | June 8, 1994 | 21.3 |
| October 2016 | November 22, 1994 | 21.9 |
| October 2017 | April 22, 1995 | 22.4 |
| October 2018 | December 22, 1995 | 22.8 |
| October 2019 | February 22, 1996 | 23.6 |
| October 2020 | August 1, 1996 | 24.2 |
| October 2021 | May 15, 1997 | 24.4 |
| October 2022 | October 15, 1997 | 25.0 |
| October 2023 | March 8, 1998 | 25.6 |
| October 2024 | August 22, 2000 | 24.1 |
| October 2025 | April 15, 2001 | 24.5 |
| October 2026 | July 1, 2001 | 25.3 |
How our forecast did for this case
| Distance behind the cutoff | Median error, our model | Median error, “last 12 months” rule | Range held the real date | Start months tested | Published? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 months | 9 months | 8 months | 67 % | 156 | No reliable forecast |
| 12 months | 13 months | 12 months | 50 % | 156 | No reliable forecast |
| 24 months | 30 months | 18 months | 9 % | 156 | 12-month pace only |
| 48 months | 511 months | 28 months | 0 % | 156 | 12-month pace only |